By Jeffrey Owen Katz Ph.D.;Donna L. McCormick
The Encyclopedia of buying and selling concepts is for investors who are looking to take your next step to continuously ecocnomic buying and selling. The authors - themselves professional veterans of the futures buying and selling enviornment - pinpoint the buying and selling equipment and methods which have been proven to provide market-beating returns. Their rigorous and systematic backtesting of every approach, utilizing a similar units of markets and analytic concepts, presents a systematic, system-based method of approach development...to assist you gather the buying and selling approach that may positioned you at the street to turning into a extra constantly ecocnomic dealer.
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Extra info for The encyclopedia of trading strategies
These are the kinds of questions that cannOt be answered by a distant panoramic view of the forest (a summary report), but they can be answered with a good trade-by-trade or detail report. In addition, a properly formatted detail report can be loaded into a spreadsheet for further analysis. Spreadsheets are convenient for sorting and displaying data. They make it easy, for instance, to draw histograms. Histograms can be very useful in decisions regarding the placement of stops (Sweeney, 1993). Histograms can show how much of the potential profit in the trades is being captured by the system’s exit strategy and is also helpful in designing profit targets.
To the degree that history repeats itself, a clear image of the past seems like an excellent foundation from which to envision a likely future. A good performance summary provides a panoramic view of a trading method’s historical behavior. Figures on return and risk show how well the system traded on test data from the historical period under study. The Sharpe Ratio, or annualized risk to reward, measures return on a risk- or stability-adjusted scale. T-tests and related statistics may be used to determine whether a system’s performance derives from some real market inefficiency or is an artifact of chance, multiple tests, or inappropriate optimization.
Flat areas imply null gradients, hence the absence of a preferred direction in which to take a step. At points of discontinuity, the gradient is not defined; again, a stepping direction cannot be determined. Even if a method does not explicitly use gradient information, such information is employed implicitly by the optimization algorithm. Unfortunately, many fitness functions of interest to traders-including, for instance, all functions that involve net profit, drawdown, percentage of winning trades, risk-to-reward ratios, and other like items-have plateaus and discontinuities.
The encyclopedia of trading strategies by Jeffrey Owen Katz Ph.D.;Donna L. McCormick